Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.493895e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065
2025-04-27 1.869369e-05 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079
2025-05-04 1.469709e-05 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000056 0.000072 0.000093
2025-05-11 1.270293e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000044 0.000061 0.000083 0.000110
2025-05-18 1.041751e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000089 0.000123
2025-05-25 7.876281e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000042 0.000064 0.000092 0.000130
2025-06-01 6.159547e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000064 0.000095 0.000138
2025-06-08 5.014518e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000100 0.000148
2025-06-15 4.073990e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000067 0.000104 0.000157
2025-06-22 3.191072e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000067 0.000107 0.000165
2025-06-29 2.378276e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000170
2025-07-06 1.679134e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000107 0.000172
2025-07-13 1.159195e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000033 0.000064 0.000110 0.000181
2025-07-20 8.545856e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000066 0.000116 0.000193
2025-07-27 6.340944e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000068 0.000122 0.000207
2025-08-03 5.519987e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000133 0.000227
2025-08-10 4.034954e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000140 0.000241
2025-08-17 2.278935e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000074 0.000140 0.000247
2025-08-24 1.314525e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000143 0.000255
2025-08-31 7.995224e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000075 0.000147 0.000267
2025-09-07 4.519425e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000076 0.000152 0.000278
2025-09-14 2.024793e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000030 0.000076 0.000155 0.000287
2025-09-21 5.902000e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000155 0.000292